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## Background & Core Thesis

The AI crypto sector saw a 17% market cap surge from late March to early April, lifting Bittensor (TAO) as a leader. But over the past week, TAO has pulled back with the broader market, leaving traders wondering: is this a healthy correction or a trend reversal?
**On the surface, it's a pullback — but in reality, it's a liquidity sweep within a range.** On the weekly chart, TAO has been trading in a wide $163–$493 range since its early 2025 crash. It broke below the range low in February but quickly bounced back to $360 — a move that looks more like a long squeeze than a bearish reversal. The structure is intact, just being tested.
## Technicals: Short-Term Bullish Structure Remains, But Patience Required
On the daily chart, the short-term bullish structure from the range low is still valid, not yet reversed. Based on Fibonacci retracement levels, key supports sit at $233 (0.618) and $194 (0.786). The latter is the "golden pocket," a zone where buyers typically step in for a bounce.
But don't rush to buy. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) made lower highs during the price bounce, indicating weaker buying pressure than it appears. More importantly, if Bitcoin corrects, TAO won't escape unscathed. So even though the structure is bullish, the risk is real.
## What Investors Should Watch
**$143 is the bull-bear line.** If TAO breaks below this level, the range structure is broken and the bullish case is off. Until then, $233 and $194 are levels to watch for potential entries, but don't go all-in early.
This pullback looks like normal range volatility, not a crash precursor. But patience matters more than conviction — jumping in too early often leads to getting caught mid-air. Wait for price to hit key levels and OBV to show divergence for a safer signal.
## Summary
TAO's long-term story hasn't changed, but the short term needs digestion. Keep an eye on $143. If it holds, trade the range; if it breaks, cut losses. Crypto never lacks opportunities — only those who can wait.








